Market values Brazil: Palmeiras jump over Flamengo – Costa with lowest value since 2010

FPL360
By FPL360

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Complete update Série A 

Transfermarkt.com.br has updated the market values of 641 Brazilian Série A players, and Palmeiras were the biggest winners overall. The São Paulo-based club finished third in the league but also won the Copa Libertadores and in Danilo have the biggest winner of the league update. Overall, the club saw its squad value increase by €30.9 million to now €174.65 million. That means Palmeiras have now moved past Flamengo (+€8.6m to €157.2m) to the very top of the market value ranking. Atlético Mineiro won their first league title in 50 years and are the third squad that has reached the €100 million milestones with a squad value of €112.5 million (+€14.05m).

Veiga & Co. - Check out all Série A updates here

Somewhat surprising, the 20-year-old Danilo finally managed to emerge as a big star at Palmeiras. The defensive midfielder is a regular starter, and his market value improved from €8 million to €18 million. “Danilo has been better this year than the also very highly rated Gabriel Menino and Gabriel Veron,” TM Area Manager Brazil Thiago Rabelo said. “But unlike his teammates, he never played in any of Brazil’s junior national teams and, therefore, is considered a bit of a late bloomer.” 

Other winners at Palmeiras are Patrick de Paula (+€4m to €16m), Gustavo Scarpa (+€3m to €8m), Gustavo Gómez (+€2m to €8m), Wesley (+€1.5m to €7m) and Raphael Veiga. The latter saw the third biggest plus in the league with an increase of €5.5 million to now €10 million. Only Yuri Alberto (+€6m to €12m) and Danilo had a more significant market value gain than Veiga. The 26-year-old scored five goals in the Copa Libertadores and was one of the key players for Abel Ferreira on the club’s path to defend the title. 

Many new faces in the top 5: The most valuable players in Brazil’s Série A

11 Raphael Veiga (Palmeiras) – €10m

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+€5.5m

11 Ângelo Gabriel (Santos) – €10m

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+€3m

11 Rony (Palmeiras) – €10m

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+€1m

9 Yuri Alberto (Internacional) – €12m

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+€6m

9 Dudu (Palmeiras) – €12m

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No change

8 Matías Zaracho (Atlético Mineiro) – €9m

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+€4m

7 Pedro (Flamengo) – €12m

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-€2m

5 Gabriel Menino (Palmeiras) – €15m

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+€1m

5 Gabriel Veron (Palmeiras) – €15m

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-€1m

3 Patrick de Paula (Palmeiras) – €16m

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+€4m

3 Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo) – €16m

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-€2m

2 Danilo (Palmeiras) – €18m

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+€10m

1 Gabriel Barbosa (Flamengo) – €26m

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No change

Gabriel Veron, who was once considered a top talent of the Verdão, in the meantime, saw his market value drop for the second time in a row. “The 19-year-old missed the start of the season with a thigh injury and then struggled to find the form of the previous year,” Rabelo said. “Technically, he just had one good game—the semi-final against Atlético Mineiro.” As a result, he dropped from €16 million to €15 million—within the league, he fell from third to fifth place. 

One player that has been past his pinnacle is former Bayern and Juve star Douglas Costa. The 31-year-old joined his former academy club Grêmio last summer. The left-winger was involved in just five goals over 28 games and was unable to prevent his club’s relegation from the first division. After a poor season, Costa’s market value dropped by €2 million to now €4 million, his lowest market value since 2010—the same year he headed from Brazil to Europe. There is a chance we could see Costa one more time in Europe. His club has terminated his loan contract with Juventus. 

Other well-known faces with a past in Europe also saw their market value decrease. Willian (Corinthians; -€3m to €6m), Diego Costa (Atlético Mineiro; -€1m to €5m), and David Luiz (Flamengo; -€1m to €3m) saw their market value decrease because of their advanced age. 

How Transfermarkt market values work

The Transfermarkt market values are calculated, taking into account various pricing models. A major factor is the Transfermarkt community, whose members discuss and evaluate player market values in detail. In general, the Transfermarkt market values are not to be equated with transfer fees. 

The goal is not to predict a price but an expected value of a player in a free market. Both individual transfer modalities and situational conditions are relevant in determining market values. Examples of this are listed below. Transfermarkt does not use an algorithm (you can find the detailed market value definition here).



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